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Posts Tagged ‘Jon Rauch’

Should There Be Such a Thing As Too Much?

July 7, 2010 6 comments

Anybody who is following the Twins should know that the Twins are in discussions with the Seattle Mariners concerning Cliff Lee. Theses talks “are ‘interesting’ and have ‘posibilities.'” These talks have gone to the point where it has been reported that Bill Smith has offered Wilson Ramos and Aaron Hicks for Lee.

The fact that Aaron Hicks could be included in a deal for Cliff Lee has many fans outraged. They believe, and wisely so, that he is too good of a prospect to give up for 2-3 (regular season) months of Cliff Lee. He was, after all, ranked by Baseball America as the 19th best prospect in all of baseball. As Seth Stohs says, Hicks isn’t untouchable, but he shouldn’t be traded for a rental player. That is conventional wisdom and I was agreeing with it, until I thought further.

I wondered a couple of things. The first I wondered was how many of the recent 1st round picks have made it to the big leagues and either had success or are currently having success. I figured some of them have probably had success (I heard there was some guy named Mauer) and that some of them probably didn’t. The next thing I wondered was how is the payroll going to be in the coming years? Surely there will be players with payroll increases meaning that it will be harder to keep around players like the free agent acquisitions Hudson and Thome.


Part 1: Recent 1st Round Picks

1st Round Pick-1997-Michael Cuddyer:

Like him or hate him, Michael Cuddyer has had success in the big leagues. He has been put in many positions on the field and his real success started in 2006 when right field became his home. He got comfortable there and put together a 3.1 WAR season. In his 2 full seasons since then (he was injured for the majority of 2008) he put together 2.6 WAR seasons. This season hasn’t been as successful, but he has been a decent 1st round pick.

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Who Can Replace Joe Nathan?

March 19, 2010 4 comments

Nobody can replace Joe Nathan. Absolutely nobody. That being said, somebody has to fill that role.  The issue of who can be the next closer has most fans split on who that should be.

The Twins new closer should have a low ERA. He should have a low WHIP. A closer should strike out a good number of his batters. He should be able to make it through 3 outs with a low number of pitches, so he can be ready for the next game, and he should have had a similar workload as Nathan in the past.

There are a few options. I will rank them in order of which I think is most likely, but first I will give Nathan’s values in these statistics.

For those who may not know, Out/GR is the number of outs recorded per games in relief, and P/GR is the number of pitches per game in relief. ERA+ is ERA adjusted to incorporate the pitcher’s ballpark and the league average ERA. 100 is the league average. Anything above 100 is higher than average, anything below it is lower than average.

ERA ERA+ WHIP K/9 Out/GR P/GR P/Year IP
2009 2.10 209 .932 11.7 2.9 16 1148 68.2
Last 3 Years 1.77 241 .952 10.4 3 16 1118 69

1. Jon Rauch
Jon Rauch is the most likely candidate to close for 1 reason. He has the expierience. He was the closer for the Nationals after Chad Cordero got injured and before he got traded to the Diamondbacks. He has 26 career saves. That will more than likely be significant to Gardy and Rick Anderson.

At 6’11” he is the tallest player ever to play in the majors. That gives him the intimidation factor. Would you want to mess with this?

That's pure intimidation right there.

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